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Can Confidence Indicators Be Useful to Predict Short Term Real GDP Growth?

Mourougane, Annabelle; Roma, Moreno - 2021

the short-run in selected euro areas countries (Belgium, Spain, Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands) which account … indicators can be useful in forecasting real GDP growth rates in the short run in a number of countries (Belgium, Germany, France …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320245

Is PMI useful in quarterly GDP growth forecasts for India? : an exploratory note

Das, Sangeeta; Coondoo, Dipankor - In: Journal of quantitative economics 16 (2018) 4, pp. 199-207

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418619

Characteristics and implications of Chinese macroeconomic data revisions

Sinclair, Tara M. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 3, pp. 1108-1117

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305230

A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth

Baumeister, Christiane; Guérin, Pierre - 2020

This paper evaluates the predictive content of a set of alternative monthly indicators of global economic activity for nowcasting and forecasting quarterly world GDP using mixed-frequency models. We find that a recently proposed indicator that covers multiple dimensions of the global economy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306598

Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes

Cepni, Oguzhan; Güney, Ethem; Swanson, Norman R. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 2, pp. 555-572

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300700

An automatic leading indicator based growth forecast for 2016-17 and the outlook beyond

Chakravarti, Parma; Mundle, Sudipto - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691547

High-mixed-frequency dynamic latent factor forecasting models for GDP in the Philippines

Mariano, Roberto S.; Ozmucur, Suleyman - In: Estudios de economía aplicada : revista promovida por … 33 (2015) 2, pp. 451-462

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011592625

Eliciting GDP forecasts from the FOMC's minutes around the financial crisis

Ericsson, Neil R. - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 2, pp. 571-583

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597221

Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data

Garnitz, Johanna; Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2019

Comprehensive and international comparable leading indicators across countries and continents are rare. In this paper, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 44 countries...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026466

Nowcasting quarterly GDP dynamics in the euro area : the role of sentiment indicators

Gajewski, Paweł - In: Comparative economic research : Central and Eastern Europe 17 (2014) 2, pp. 5-23

Composite perform best in the cases of the Euro Area, Germany, France and Italy, whilst Spanish GDP dynamics is best nowcasted …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860843