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Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144799
This paper presents a novel approach to model selection and model averaging based on economic theory. We study model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863556
Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014190565
In this paper we present a method for calculating the entire hedge surface of a derivative who’s future underlying asset has been simulated by a market simulator for example with the Monte Carlo method. Our method is built from work on penalized filtering techniques and is applied on a grid of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228561
Many economic models (e.g., computable general equilibrium models, econometric input–output models) revolve around a matrix of technical coefficients. However, these matrices can be estimated only once every 5 years as long as they are calculated from input–output tables and these are only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009783353
The capacity of input-output tables to reflect the structural peculiarities of an economy and to forecast, on this basis, its evolution, depends essentially on the characteristics of the matrix A matrix of I-O (or technical) coefficients. However, the temporal behaviour of these coefficients is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009783372
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234397
We propose a refinement of the criterion by Bai and Ng [2002] for determining the number of static factors in factor models with large datasets. It consists in multiplying the penalty function times a constant which tunes the penalizing power of the function itself as in the Hallin and Lika...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744961
In this article we derive conditions which ensure the non-negativity of the conditional variance in the Hyperbolic GARCH(p; d; q) (HYGARCH) model of Davidson (2004). The conditions are necessary and sufficient for p < 2 and sufficient for p > 2 and emerge as natural extensions of the inequality constraints derived in...</2>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003762825
This paper considers a formulation of the extended constant or time-varying conditional correlation GARCH model which allows for volatility feedback of either sign, i.e., positive or negative. In the previous literature, negative volatility spillovers were ruled out by the assumption that all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764299