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Modeling Credit Contagion via the Updating of Fragile Beliefs

Benzoni, Luca - 2015

We propose an equilibrium model for defaultable bonds that are subject to contagion risk. Contagion arises because agents with "fragile beliefs'' are uncertain about the underlying economic state and its probability. Estimation on sovereign European credit default swaps (CDS) data shows that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037129

Sovereign contagion in Europe : evidence from the CDS market

Manasse, Paolo; Zavalloni, Luca - 2013

This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038

Sovereign credit risk and stock markets : does the markets’ dependency increase with financial Distress?

Silva, Paulo Pereira da - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 2 (2014) 1, pp. 145-167

This paper addresses the relationship between stock markets and credit default swaps (CDS) markets. In particular, I aim to gauge if the co-movement between stock prices and sovereign CDS spreads increases with the deterioration of the credit quality of sovereign debt. The analysis of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373349

The Pricing of Risk in European Credit and Corporate Bond Markets

Berndt, Antje; Obreja, Iulian - 2021

This paper investigates the determinants of the default risk premia embedded in the European credit default swap spreads. Using a modified version of the intertemporal capital asset pricing model, we show that default risk premia represent compensation for bearing exposure to systematic risk and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316873

Is Credit Event Risk Priced? Modeling Contagion Via the Updating of Beliefs

Collin-Dufresne, Pierre - 2011

Empirical tests of reduced form models of default attribute a large fraction of observed credit spreads to compensation for jump-to-default risk. However, these models preclude a “contagion-risk” channel, where the aggregate corporate bond index reacts adversely to a credit event. In this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133964

Default Contagion in a Two-Tree Economy

Ericsson, Jan; Jeanneret, Alexandre; Lu, Yiliu - 2021

We propose an explanation for default contagion based on a Lucas model with two independent debt-financed trees. The transmission mechanism is that variations in the size of one tree impact the level of risk premium and the default decision for all borrowers. If a negative shock hits one tree,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229878

The term structure of risk premia : new evidence from the financial crisis

Berg, Tobias - 2010

This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971282

Credit gap risk in a first passage time model with jumps

Packham, Natalie; Schlögl, Lutz; Schmidt, Wolfgang M. - 2009

The payoff of many credit derivatives depends on the level of credit spreads. In particular, credit derivatives with a leverage component are subject to gap risk, a risk associated with the occurrence of jumps in the underlying credit default swaps. In the framework of first passage time models,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293916

The Term Structure of Risk Premia : New Evidence from the Financial Crisis

Berg, Tobias - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146561

Credit Risk Calibration Based on CDS Spreads

Chao, Shih-Kang - 2017

As observed in the financial crisis, CDS spreads tend to increase simutaneously as a reaction to common shocks. Focusing on the spillover effects triggered by extreme events, we propose a credit risk analysis tool by applying credit default swap spread returns to the concept of 4CoVaR suggested...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966546

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