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Vector autoregressions with Markov-switching parameters (MS-VARs) fit the data better than do their constant-parameter predecessors. However, Bayesian inference for MS-VARs with existing algorithms remains challenging. For our first contribution, we show that Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499604
Vector autoregressions with Markov-switching parameters (MS-VARs) fit the data better than do their constant-parameter predecessors. However, Bayesian inference for MS-VARs with existing algorithms remains challenging. For our first contribution, we show that Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210359
widely used two-step approach for SVARs: beginning with estimation of a reduced form and then choosing among observationally … form is a tractable known model for which I provide the first algorithm for Bayesian estimation of all free parameters. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014111397
Several lessons learned from a Bayesian analysis of basic economic time series models by means of the Gibbs sampling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349180
observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300365
We consider an adaptive importance sampling approach to estimating the marginal likelihood, a quantity that is … importance sampling approach is that random samples can be obtained from some convenient density with little additional costs. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014169831
inference that feature varying level of trade-off between estimation precision and computational speed. Using monthly data for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314068
We propose to add ranking restrictions on impulse-responses to sign restrictions to narrow the identified set in vector autoregressions (VARs). Ranking restrictions come from micro data on heterogeneous industries in VARs, bounds on elasticities, or restrictions on dynamics. Using both a fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432770
the fast-time-time scale sampling frequency is held fixed. The realized kernel density estimation enriches the literature … estimation method is applied to DAX intraday prices, which balances between the bias and the variance of the realized moments … with respect to the bandwidth selection as well as the sampling frequency selection. The main finding is that the kernel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373293