This paper proposes two dimension-reduction and forecasting quantile methods (i.e., the quantile group lasso and the quantile group SCAD models) to predict carbon futures returns and investigate the predictability of a comprehensive group of factors including market fundamental variables and...

This paper examines the impact of hedging and speculative pressures on the transition of the spot-futures relationships in the energy and metal markets. We build a Markov regime switching (MRS) model where hedging and speculative pressures affect the transition probabilities of spot-future...

This paper proposes a Markov regime switching framework for modeling carbon emission (CO2) allowances that combines a regime switching behavior and disequilibrium adjustments in the mean process, along with a state-dependent dynamic volatility process. We find that all regime switching based...

We examine how the introduction of index futures affects the stability of stock markets in seven emerging countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa [BRICS] and two countries in Europe, i.e. Poland and Turkey) by studying the existence and the impact of positive feedback trading...

Employing an international sample of 12,422 bank loan facilities across 37 countries spanning the period from 2000-2016, we find that both media coverage and positive media sentiment reduce the bank loan interest rate spread, which can be achieved through the media’s roles in mitigating...

This paper studies the impact of the April allowance submissions mandate under the European Union emission trading scheme (EU ETS) in carbon emission markets. Using intraday order flow data, we test for the cross-market efficiency of spot-futures dynamics and find that the equilibrium level,...