Least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) is a state-of-the-art approximate dynamic programming approach used in financial engineering and real options to value and manage options with early or multiple exercise opportunities. It is also applicable to capacity investment and inventory/production...

Merchant operations involves valuing and hedging the cash flows of commodity- and energy-conversion assets as real options based on stochastic models that inevitably embed model error. In this paper we quantify how empirically calibrated model errors concerning the futures term-structure affect...

Least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) is commonly used to manage and value early or multiple exercise financial or real options. Recent research in this area has started applying approximate linear programming (ALP) and its relaxations, which aim at addressing a possible ALP drawback. We show that...

We formulate the merchant trading of energy in a network of storage and transport assets as a Markov decision process with uncertain energy prices, generalizing known models. Because of the intractability of our model, we develop heuristics and both lower and dual (upper) bounds on the optimal...

Least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) is an approximate dynamic programming (ADP) technique commonly used for the valuation of high dimensional financial and real options, but has broader applicability. It is known that the regress-later version of this method is an approximate linear programming...

We study merchant energy production modeled as a compound switching and timing option. The resulting Markov decision process is intractable. State-of-the-art approximate dynamic programming methods applied to realistic instances of this model yield policies with large optimality gaps that are...