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breaks of different type in the conditional and unconditional correlation components by capturing abrupt regime switches in … the forecasting accuracy of the correlation component models by explicitly accounting for parameter instability over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291422
We propose a nonparametric procedure for detecting and dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix of a … sequence of random variables. The procedure is based on a test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time … change point estimators. Moreover, we illustrate its performance in finite samples by means of a simulation study and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033694
We investigate long-run stock-bond correlation using a model that combines the dynamic conditional correlation model … with the mixed-data sampling approach and allows long-run correlation to be affected by macro-finance factors (historical …-bond correlation. Supporting the flight-to-quality phenomenon, long-run correlation tends to be small and negative when the economy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033824
we fail to reject the null hypothesis. The simulation results show that the estimator studied here performs better than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037262
correlation predictions. The volatilities are here forecast using hybrid neural networks while correlations follow a traditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211314
The Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model by Engle (2002) has become an extremely popular tool for modeling the … endogenously determines an optimal degree of commonality in the correlation innovations, allowing a part of the update to be of … does not restrict long-run behavior, thereby naturally complementing target correlation matrix shrinkage approaches …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212103
Modeling cross-sectional correlations between thousands of stocks, acrosscountries and industries, can be challenging. In this paper, we demonstratethe advantages of using Hierarchical Principal Component Analysis (HPCA)over the classic PCA. We also introduce a statistical clustering algorithmto...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213840
We propose a score-driven extension to the well-known dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model. The p-range DCC … model provides means to capture the time-varying influence from news on correlation dynamics. The recursion to update the …-varying severity of news enriches the examination of correlation dynamics for a global cross-section of equity indices. More …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214137
Many econometric and data-science applications require a reliable estimate of the covariance matrix, such as Markowitz portfolio selection. When the number of variables is of the same magnitude as the number of observations, this constitutes a difficult estimation problem; the sample covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849284
Correlation models, such as Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC) GARCH model or Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC … constant correlation tests into correlation models has been proven to be helpful in terms of the improvement of the accuracy of … VaR or ES forecasts. Galeano & Wied (2017) suggested an algorithms for detecting structural breaks in the correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171617