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This paper examines return interrelationships between numbers of equity sectors across several European markets. The markets comprise six Member States of the European Union (EU): namely, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland and Italy. The five sectors include the consumer discretionary,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627083
Input/Output Hidden Markov Models (IOHMMs) are conditional hidden Markov models in which the emission (and possibly the transition) probabilities can be conditioned on an input sequence. For example, these conditional distributions can be linear, logistic, or non-linear (using for example...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627166
This paper examines the effect of analysts' recommendations on stock return, volume and volatility. The study covers a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005632820
We assess whether the euro had an impact first on the degree of integration of European financial markets, and, second, on the euro area term structure. We propose two methodologies to measure integration: one relies on time-varying GARCH correlations, and the other one on a regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222395
expectedperformance of the group of companies concerned, but also affects performance volatility. Itis expected, according to the variant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227303
¿ market value, and to examine its influence on volatility. The sample used contains all the firms that, while trading in the … certification. To estimate the variation in volatility, we have used four tests, two parametric, one non-parametric and a proposal … certification, increasing also volatility. El objetivo del presente estudio consiste en analizar el impacto que la publicación de la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227304
future exchange rates. The purpose of this paper is to systematically assess the quality of option based volatility, interval … option prices. We find that the OTC implied volatilities explain a much larger share of the variation in realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227533
utility of these methods for modelling growth and volatility regimes present in the New Zealand data and their interaction … their mean and volatility over time. The paper discusses applications of the methodology to identifying changes in growth … performances, and examines the timing of growth and volatility regime switching between production sectors. Conclusions to emerge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464963
Can pegging reduce real as well as nominal, and multilateral as well as bilateral exchange rate volatility? We … volatility against the anchor currency increase steadily with regime flexibility. Real bilateral volatility against non …-anchor currencies and real effective exchange rate volatility are significantly higher under independent floats, but are otherwise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005465031
Real effective exchange rate volatility is examined for 90 countries using monthly data from January 1990 to June 2006 …. Volatility decreases with openness to international trade and per capita GDP, and increases with inflation, particularly under a … horizontal peg or band, and with terms-of-trade volatility. The choice of exchange rate regime matters. After controlling for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005465032