The objective of this paper is to perform a joint analysis of jump activity for commodities and their respective volatility indices. Exploiting the property that for affine jump-diffusion models a volatility index, which is quoted on the market, is an affine function of the instantaneous...

The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator...

We propose a generalized arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel model under the HJM framework. It features unspanned stochastic volatility factors while maintaining a Nelson-Siegel factor loading structure. The price of the interest rate derivatives, including European options, Caps and Swaptions are then...

Fixed income options contain substantial information on the price of interest rate volatility risk. In this paper, we ask if those options will also provide information related to other moments of the objective distribution of interest rates. Based on dynamic term structure models within the...

We build on Fackler and King (1990) and propose a general calibration model for implied risk neutral densities. Our model allows for the joint calibration of a set of densities at different maturities and dates. The model is a Bayesian dynamic beta Markov random field which allows for possible...

We infer the forward-looking Bitcoin risk premium from options contracts. Using data from 2018 to 2020, we show that the expected excess returns for Bitcoin are time-varying and significantly higher than in equities or gold, averaging almost 80% per annum. A temporal analysis of the term...

We introduce two new methods to calculate bounds for zero-sum game options using Monte Carlo simulation. These extend and generalise the duality results of Haugh-Kogan/Rogers and Jamshidian to the case where both parties of a contract have Bermudan optionality. It is shown that the...

This is a short comment on Kung and Lee's paper. In this note, we show that the formulae given in Kung and Lee (2009) for European call and put option under Merton's model of the short rate are incorrect. We give the correct derivations making use of the "change of numeraire" technique which is...

The study proposes an arbitrage-free methodology of VIX term structure modeling that is tailored to handle the most actively traded VIX options. Under the model, the evolution of future VIX is completely determined by the volatility function of forward VIX squared normalized by VIX futures...

Based on the works of Brockman and Turtle (2003) and Giesecke (2004), we propose in this study a hybrid barrier option model to explain observed credit spreads. It is free of problems with the structural model which underprescribed credit spreads for investment grade corporate bonds and...