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run volatility function. Our estimation is based on a two-step LAD procedure. We establish the relevant asymptotic theory …We investigate a model in which we connect slowly time varying unconditional long-run volatility with short …-run conditional volatility whose representation is given as a semi-strong GARCH (1,1) process with heavy tailed errors. We focus on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084890
run volatility function. Our estimation is based on a two-step LAD procedure. We establish the relevant asymptotic theory …We investigate a model in which we connect slowly time varying unconditional long-run volatility with short …-run conditional volatility whose representation is given as a semi-strong GARCH (1,1) process with heavy tailed errors. We focus on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090408
run volatility function. Our estimation is based on a two-step LAD procedure. We establish the relevant asymptotic theory …We investigate a model in which we connect slowly time varying unconditional long-run volatility with short …-run conditional volatility whose representation is given as a semi-strong GARCH (1,1) process with heavy tailed errors. We focus on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009719116
Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) estimators are a popular tool in econometrics since introduced by Hansen (1982), because this approach provides feasible solutions for many problems present in economic data where least squares or maximum likelihood methods fail when naively applied. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176561
This paper presents a method for Bayesian nonparametric analysis of the return distribution in a stochastic volatility … series and two stock index return series. We find that estimates of volatility using the model can differ dramatically from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133054
A Bayesian semiparametric stochastic volatility model for financial data is developed. This estimates the return … between the returns and changes in volatility, the leverage effect. An efficient MCMC algorithm for inference is described …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118198
We propose a new semiparametric observation-driven volatility model where the form of the error density directly … influences the volatility dynamics. This feature distinguishes our model from standard semiparametric GARCH models. The link … between the estimated error density and the volatility dynamics follows from the application of the generalized autoregressive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106178
In recent years, numerous volatility-based derivative products have been engineered. This has led to interest in … constructing conditional predictive densities and confidence intervals for integrated volatility. In this paper, we propose … realized volatility measures, which are constructed using the ex post variation of asset prices. A set of sufficient conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130720
parametric approach utilizing a Stochastic-Volatility-Jump-Diffusion (SVJD) model, estimated with MCMC and extended with Particle … method may be biased in the case when large outlier jumps occur in the time series as well as when the stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964932
A kernel weighted version of the standard realised integrated volatility estimator is proposed. By different choices of … the kernel and bandwidth, the measure allows us to focus on specific characteristics of the volatility process. In … particular, as the bandwidth vanishes, an estimator of the realised spot volatility is obtained. We denote this the filtered spot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217113