Review of Stephanie Kelton, The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy.The ideas of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) have gained popularity in certain political circles. While claiming to overturn well-known economic principles, MMT has never been formally laid...

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions rely on economic forecasts from the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) staff. This paper analyzes the forecasts of GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment by the FRB staff and the FOMC from 2009 through 2016. Forecasts for the current year are positively...

In this policy brief, we explain the fundamentals of risk-based capital (RBC) regulation and discuss some potential shortcomings of this system. We propose that the Fed end its use of RBC regulation and return to the use of simple capital ratios as measures of bank risk

The Diamond–Dybvig model is often cited as a theoretical justification for government-provided deposit insurance. Guaranteeing bank deposits removes the temptation for individual depositors to run on the bank and thereby precludes the need to ever use the deposit insurance. Hence, deposit...

This issue brief discusses the potential causes of the post-crisis decline in bank lending. First, it compares bank lending to several measures of economic activity. Second, it discusses two other factors that affect lending: regulation and changes in the Fed's monetary policy. The evidence...

This paper analyzes the relationship between bank lending and the Federal Reserve's policy of paying interest on excess reserves (IOER). We argue that the Fed's IOER policy deviates from the standard interest-rate floor framework in ways that influence banks' incentives to hold loans and...

We provide an initial assessment of the Federal Reserve's policy response to the COVID-19 contraction. We briefly review the historical episode and consider the standard textbook treatment of a pandemic on the macroeconomy. We summarize and then evaluate the Fed's monetary and emergency lending...