Chauvet, Marcelle; Senyuz, Zeynep; Yoldas, Emre - In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 52 (2015) C, pp. 340-360
We provide an extensive analysis of the predictive ability of financial volatility for economic activity. We consider monthly measures of realized and implied volatility from the stock and bond markets. In a dynamic factor framework, we extract the common long-run component of volatility that is...