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Can Anchoring Explain Biased F...
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1
Anchoring : a valid explanation for biased forecasts when rational predictions are easily accessible and well incentivized?
Meub, Lukas
;
Proeger, Till
;
Bizer, Kilian
-
2013
's presence. Monetary incentives reduce the average
bias
to one-third of its original value. Additionally, the average anchor
bias
… abilities are on average less biased toward the anchor when task complexity is high. The anchoring
bias
in our repeated game is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777356
Saved in:
2
Prediction
Bias
Correction for Dynamic Term Structure Models
Raviv, Eran
-
2013
When the yield curve is modelled using an a ffine factor model, residuals may still contain relevant information and do not adhere to the familiar white noise assumption. This paper proposes a pragmatic way to improve out of sample performance for yield curve forecasting. The proposed adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085245
Saved in:
3
Strategic Coordination in Forecasting. An Experimental Study
Bizer, Kilian
-
2014
behavioral working mechanisms have not yet been described. We thus put forth an exploratory
experiment
on the emergence and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056991
Saved in:
4
Bias
and Efficiency : A Comparison of Analyst Forecasts and Management Forecasts
Khan, Urooj
-
2013
prior returns. This paper extends similar tests to examine management
forecast
characteristics. We find that, in contrast to … analyst
forecast
errors, management
forecast
errors cannot be predicted by prior returns or accruals. We also document that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089634
Saved in:
5
Biases in Analysts' Multiyear Forecasted Income Statements, Balance Sheets, and Cash Flow Statements
Hand, John R. M.
-
2017
and all common-sized expenses except income tax, which they
forecast
pessimistically. Analysts are optimistic about both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951937
Saved in:
6
Sticky stock market analysts
Filiz, Ibrahim
;
Judek, Jan René
;
Lorenz, Marco
; …
- In:
Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM
14
(
2021
)
12
,
pp. 1-27
future. In addition, we draw on some contemporary measures of
forecast
quality (prediction-realization diagram, test of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799168
Saved in:
7
Optimism
Bias
in Financial Analysts' Earnings Forecasts : Do Commission-Sharing Agreements Reduce Conflicts of Interest?
Galanti, Sébastien
-
2018
conduct panel data regressions. We show that the analysts' optimistic
bias
declined significantly after CSA rules, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925622
Saved in:
8
Change in Systematic
Bias
and News as Drivers of Earnings
Forecast
Revision - A New
Forecast
Revision Model
Gell, Sebastian
-
2010
systematically
bias
their earnings forecasts. Taken together, both drivers explain about 42% of the variability in earnings
forecast
…We predict and find that revisions are driven by the same determinants as
forecast
errors. In addition to the intuitive … downward revision to compensate for the initial induced
forecast
optimism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143801
Saved in:
9
Beware the performance of an algorithm before relying on it : evidence from a stock price forecasting
experiment
Tse, Tiffany Tsz Kwan
;
Hanaki, Nobuyuki
;
Mao, Bolin
-
2022
forecast
after observing the one produced by the algorithm (a condition found to mitigate algorithm aversion), the average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419049
Saved in:
10
Forecasting hypothetical
bias
: a tale of two calibrations
Norwood, F. Bailey
;
Lusk, Jayson L.
;
Boyer, Tracy
- In:
Environmental economics, experimental methods
,
(pp. 447-465)
.
2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003647713
Saved in:
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