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's presence. Monetary incentives reduce the average bias to one-third of its original value. Additionally, the average anchor bias … abilities are on average less biased toward the anchor when task complexity is high. The anchoring bias in our repeated game is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777356
When the yield curve is modelled using an a ffine factor model, residuals may still contain relevant information and do not adhere to the familiar white noise assumption. This paper proposes a pragmatic way to improve out of sample performance for yield curve forecasting. The proposed adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085245
behavioral working mechanisms have not yet been described. We thus put forth an exploratory experiment on the emergence and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056991
prior returns. This paper extends similar tests to examine management forecast characteristics. We find that, in contrast to … analyst forecast errors, management forecast errors cannot be predicted by prior returns or accruals. We also document that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089634
and all common-sized expenses except income tax, which they forecast pessimistically. Analysts are optimistic about both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951937
future. In addition, we draw on some contemporary measures of forecast quality (prediction-realization diagram, test of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799168
conduct panel data regressions. We show that the analysts' optimistic bias declined significantly after CSA rules, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925622
systematically bias their earnings forecasts. Taken together, both drivers explain about 42% of the variability in earnings forecast …We predict and find that revisions are driven by the same determinants as forecast errors. In addition to the intuitive … downward revision to compensate for the initial induced forecast optimism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143801
forecast after observing the one produced by the algorithm (a condition found to mitigate algorithm aversion), the average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419049
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003647713