degree of bias due to selection neglect increases when other decision makers become more informed, or become more rational …

We introduce a heuristic bias-adjustment for the transaction price-based realized range estimator of daily volatility …) biased or not, which we use for a more refined bias-adjustment of the realized range estimator. Both Monte Carlo simulations … measures and ex ante forecasts based on the heuristically adjusted realized range compare favorably to existing bias …

status quo bias. We evaluated interest rate forecast series from twelve industrial nations. This revealed that, on average …Status quo bias is a systematic cognitive error which makes it difficult for individuals to make decisions …, forecasts were much too close to the status quo - the current interest rate at the time when the forecast was made. With the aid …

behavioral working mechanisms have not yet been described. We thus put forth an exploratory experiment on the emergence and …

theoretical predictions in a field experiment in which we pay participants monetary rewards for completing daily meditation …

directional forecasts can provide a useful framework to assess the economic forecast value when loss functions (or success … directional forecast value is a readily available alternative to the commonly used squared error loss criterion. -- Directional … forecasts ; directional forecast value ; forecast evaluation ; economic forecast value ; mean squared forecast error ; mean …

persistent regressor bias, by detrending the highly autocorrelated predictors. We find that some evidence of predictability at …