Prevailing explanations of the decline in real interest rates since the early 1980s are premised on the notion that real interest rates are driven by variations in desired saving and investment. But based on data stretching back to 1870 for 19 countries, our systematic analysis casts doubt on...

Long term determinants of the movements in exchange rate have been an active interest area for both theoretical and empirical research. In this paper, we consider the long run relationship between exchange rates, inflation and interest rates. We find evidence that the Purchasing Power Parity...

Orthodox term structure theory holds that real interest rates are constant across all maturities. With the introduction of inflation indexed securities by various governments, the real interest rate is directly observable. The yields of these inflation linked securities show that the real rate...

Prevailing explanations of the decline in real interest rates since the early 1980s are premised on the notion that real interest rates are driven by variations in desired saving and investment. But based on data stretching back to 1870 for 19 countries, our systematic analysis casts doubt on...

Different approaches to quantifying the degree of capital mobility for a cross-section of currencies -- particularly saving-investment correlations and tests of real interest parity - have appeared to show a surprisingly low degree of financial market integration. We use a new data set, forward...

This paper attempts to demonstrate a need to expand the simple Fisherian view whereby changes in interest rates are explained largely by changes in expected inflation. It presents and tests a model of expected, after-tax real interest rate behavior which, together with a group of explanatory...