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Accurate volatility forecasting is a key determinant for portfolio management, risk management and economic policy. The paper provides evidence that the sum of squared standardized forecast errors is a reliable measure for model evaluation when the predicted variable is the intra-day realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910111
In financial literature, Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) modelling is focused on producing 1-step ahead conditional variance forecasts. The present paper provides a methodological contribution to the multi-step VaR and ES forecasting through a new adaptation of the Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910116
The accuracy of parametric, non-parametric and semi-parametric methods in predicting the one-day-ahead Value-at-Risk (VaR) measure in three types of markets (stock exchanges, commodities and exchange rates) is investigated, both for long and short trading positions. The risk management...
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The main theme of the paper is to analyze whether the size has any effect on return-volume relationship. It also examines the casual relationship between returns and trading volume. The study also examines the duration of impact of stock returns on trading volume and the trading volume on stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102207
Investor overconfidence has been proposed to explain various anomalous findings in security markets. The theory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087494
This study investigates the dynamic relationship between stock return and trading volume in the banking sector of Amman Stock Exchange (ASE). In addition, it reveals the nature and direction of this relationship. Therefore, several tests were utilized to include: Bivariate regression model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743412