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them. I find that negative management forecast surprises lead to a –5.9% abnormal return around the forecast and a 1 ….9% abnormal return and a –1.7% correction. The level of the stock market overreaction varies with the forecast and firm … characteristics, but the marginal impact remains the same: a 1% change in the stock market reaction around the forecast is associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063187
We create an alternative, simpler definition of analyst forecast timeliness leaders based on their response after the … prior definitions of timeliness. Furthermore, prior forecast accuracy is positively associated to the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226876
in the next quarter. Our oil-response forecast strategy earns especially high returns in periods that follow large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852476
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the predictability of earnings information before the quarterly disclosure date. Two categories of firms are contrasted: the firms that announce better quarterly earnings than the prior period and the firms that do not. The paper uses a sample of 67...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183853
earnings forecasters, we see that small adjustments to the model forecasts lead to more forecast accuracy. Based on past track …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490078
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191299
available forecast for each forecaster and the difference between the average and the forecast that this forecaster previously … made. We extended the knowledge base by analyzing the unpredictable component of the earnings forecast. We found that for … some forecasters the unpredictable component can be used to improve upon the predictable forecast, but we also found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895745
forecast disclosure only accrue to bidders with a strong forecasting reputation prior to the acquisition. Explaining why not … all bidders forecast, we document a higher likelihood of post-merger litigation and CEO turnover for bidders with a weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905443
yet-to-be-announced firm performance and convey earnings news, even for firms less likely to forecast if forecasting were …; the act of forecasting and forecast timing provide some information, but no significant incremental earnings news is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980114
We address whether analysts bias earnings forecast revisions and convey the bias using forecast revision consistency, i ….e., the extent to which analyst reports with earnings forecast revisions include stock recommendation and target price … revisions consistent in sign with the earnings forecast revisions, the sign of which is the sign of earnings forecast revision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359306