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We explore the impact of fake news on asset price dynamics within the asset-pricing model of Brock and Hommes (1998). By polluting the information landscape, fake news interferes with agents' perception of the dividend process of the risky asset. Our analysis reveals that fake news decreases the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631654
Prior literature demonstrates that an increased trading activity of a fi rm's stock is associated with abnormal future stock returns (the high-volume return premium) and interprets this phenomenon as evidence that increased visibility generates reductions in cost of capital. Motivated by this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800651
In this paper we investigate the predictive power of cross-sectional volatility, skewness and kurtosis for future stock returns. Adding to the work of Maio (2016), who finds cross-sectional volatility to forecast a decline in the equity premium with high predictive power in-sample as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996822
pricing equation used to study returns. Our GMM test reveals that the CAPM describes the cross-section of prices noticeably … that book-to-market, quality, and size provide a parsimonious model of CAPM mispricing that both long-term buy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846334
, not requiring any assumptions about the data generating process or investor rationality. The recovered beliefs about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849004
Machine learning methods for big data trade off bias for precision in prediction. To understand the implications for financial markets, I formulate an asymmetric information model where agents optimally choose a biased estimator. The model identifies a novel cost of complexity that arises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294042
restores the CAPM relation. Consistent with this hypothesis, mutual fund flows are negatively related to fund beta when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298806
-diversifiable macroeconomic and geopolitical news. Their impact on prices is accounted using total market return in the spirit of the CAPM. Second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403204
This study uses security-level investor demand and dynamic pricing information in the primary bond market to examine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405355
Machine learning (ML) is a novel method that has applications in asset pricing and that fits well within the problem of measurement in economics. Unlike econometrics, ML models are not designed for parameter estimation and inference, but similar to econometrics, they address, and may be better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475217