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uncertainty. Positive/negative bubbles arise when prior public beliefs about the aggregate productivity of producers (business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081636
Speculation is a critical channel through which credit supply expansion affects the housing cycle. The surge in private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898861
How did pricing for mortgage credit risk change during the years prior to the 2008 financial crisis? Using a database from a major American bank that served as trustee for private-label mortgage-backed securitized (PLS) loans, this paper identifies a decline in credit spreads on mortgages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853275
Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056391
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018699
We study the existence and international transmission of housing market bubbles, using quarterly information of twenty … OECD countries for the period comprised between 1970 and 2015. We find that housing bubbles are present in all the … countries included in our sample. Multiple bubbles are found in all but two of those countries. We find five episodes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920155
This paper analyzes the presence of a speculative component during the extra ordinary upsurge in Karachi Stock Exchange. We implement cointegration tests, between 1997 and 2008, on price and dividends of various market and sectoral indices. The no bubble hypothesis could not be rejected for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218464
In models of financial bubbles, the price of a stock is a priori typically unbounded, and this plays a fundamental role … in the analysis of finite horizon local martingale bubbles. It would seem that price bubbles do not apply to bounded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035590
This study aims to establish a proportional perspective of the contribution of UK mortgage lenders to the domestic housing bubble and the ensuing financial crisis, based on a carefully built theoretical framework. The theory captures credit constraint as a transmission mechanism for speculative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036123
Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077506