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of financial bubbles depress the real economy? This paper addresses these questions by constructing an infinite …-horizon heterogeneous agent general equilibrium model with speculative bubbles. We characterize conditions under which storable goods …, regardless of their intrinsic values, can carry bubbles and agents are willing to invest in such bubbles despite their positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158843
that low economic growth propagates bubbles. Further exploration of the cyclicality in the bubbly asset shows that its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870109
Borrowers in states with non-recourse mortgage law face limited liability on their mortgage loans. We show that non-recourse law causes larger swings in housing prices by encouraging speculative investments when housing markets are in a boom cycle. We find that mortgage lending pricing does not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856960
Speculation, in the spirit of Harrison and Kreps [1978], is introduced into a standard real business cycle model … generated by speculation for any model of beliefs - a factor of 1.5. A calibration based on diagnostic beliefs amplifies hours …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012145301
experiences speculation-driven extrapolative bubbles. The equilibrium allocation of talent in the decentralized economy encourages … a negative externality on the manufacturing sector, but speculation is also a source of financial fragility. The reason … across sectors is then proposed to fix the talent misallocation caused by speculative bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324348
We analyze a controlled price formation experiment in the laboratory that shows evidence for bubbles. We calibrate two … models that demonstrate with high statistical significance that these laboratory bubbles have a tendency to grow faster than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009560804
residential real estate market where transaction traits associated with short-term speculation can be identified. In the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115047
The presence of rational speculative bubbles in 28 commodities is investigated using the duration dependence test on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085819
This paper is the first to utilize a direct test for periodic, partially collapsing speculative bubbles in US REIT … bubbles, most notably in the Mortgage REITs series. There is also visual evidence of a negative bubble in all three series in … bubbles or indeed taking advantage of such bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150782