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Inflation in the USA for the period between 1960 and 2004 is studied in the framework of evident rigidity of personal income distribution normalized to the total nominal GDP. Inflation is found to be a mechanism, which counters changes in the relative incomes induced by economic growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059492
Real GDP growth rate in developed countries is found to be a sum of two terms. The first term is the reciprocal value of the duration of the period of mean income growth with work experience, Tcr. The current value of Tcr in the USA is 40 years. The second term is inherently related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059493
This is chapter 1 of the book "Economics as Mechanics". It is fully devoted to personal income. A microeconomic model is developed, which accurately predicts the shape of personal income distribution (PID) in the United States and the evolution of the shape over time. The underlying concept is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014210396
Potential links between inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Germany have been examined. There exists a consistent (conventional) Phillips curve despite some changes in monetary policy. This Phillips curve is characterized by a negative relation between inflation and unemployment with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005786895
A two-component model for the evolution of real GDP per capita in the USA is presented and tested. The first component of the GDP growth rate represents an economic trend and is inversely proportional to the attained level of real GDP per capita itself, with the nominator being constant through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790144
A linear link between S&P 500 return and the change rate of the number of nine-year-olds in the USA has been found. The return is represented by a sum of monthly returns during previous twelve months. The change rate of the specific age population is represented by moving averages. The period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790450
Share prices of financial companies from the S&P 500 list have been modeled by a linear function of consumer price indices in the USA. The Johansen and Engle-Granger tests for cointegration both demonstrated the presence of an equilibrium long-term relation between observed and predicted time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562631
The evolution of the rate of price inflation and unemployment in Japan has been modeled within the Phillips curve framework. As an extension to the Phillips curve, we represent both variables as linear functions of the change rate of labor force. All models were first estimated in 2005 for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010693451
Using a modified version of Okun’s law, we have modeled the rate of unemployment and the employment/population ratio in several largest developed countries: Australia, Canada, France, Japan, the UK, and the U.S. Our results show that the evolution of the (un)employment rate since the early...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698860
We model the rate of inflation and unemployment in Austria since the early 1960s within the Phillips/Fisher framework. The change in labour force is the driving force representing economic activity in the Phillips curve. For Austria, this macroeconomic variable was first tested as a predictor of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010699030