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Background: Bayesian regularization can address over-parameterization of age-period-cohort (APC) mortality models … periods to vary by age. It is applied to overdose mortality rates from the 1999-2015 CDC WONDER data for white non … this group, observed overdose mortality rates increased most markedly for the youngest and oldest ages. Early in the period …
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severity of the drug crisis are limited. An emerging debate is whether geographic differences in drug mortality rates are … county-level non-Hispanic white drug mortality rates for 2000-02 and 2014-16 and several socioeconomic and opioid supply …, average non-Hispanic white drug mortality rates are highest and increased the most in large metro counties. In 2014-16, the …
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Misuse of prescription opioids is a leading cause of premature death in the United States. We use new state government administrative data and machine learning methods to examine whether the risk of future opioid dependence, abuse, or poisoning can be predicted in advance of an initial opioid...
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There have been more than 500,000 opioid overdose deaths since 2000. To analyze the opioid epidemic, we construct a model where individuals, with and without pain, choose whether to misuse opioids knowing the probabilities of addiction and dying. These odds are functions of opioid use. Markov...
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