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Ex-ante estimates of the volatility premium embedded in VIX futures, known as the VIX premium, fall or stay flat when ex-ante measures of risk rise. This is not an artifact of mismeasurement: 1) Ex-ante premiums reliably predict ex-post returns to VIX futures with a coefficient near one, and 2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937777
Exchange traded funds (ETF) provide a means for investors to access assets indirectly that may be accessible at a high cost otherwise. I show that liquidity segmentation can explain the tendency for ETFs to trade at a premium to NAV as well as the life-cycle pattern in premiums. ETFs with larger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938037
In this paper, I examine how financialization affects the term structure of risk premia by using an equilibrium model for commodity futures markets. I define financialization as the entry of cross-asset investors, who are exposed to a commodity risk, into a commodity market. Qualitatively, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968058
We extract variance and skew risk premiums from volatility derivatives in a model-free way and analyze their relationships along with volatility index and equity index returns. These risk premiums can be synthesized through option trading strategies. Using a time series of option prices on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968712
We show that a model featuring an average commodity factor, a carry factor, and a momentum factor is capable of describing the cross-sectional variation of commodity returns. More parsimonious one- and two-factor models that feature only the average and/or carry factors are rejected. To provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971927
We solve a dynamic general equilibrium model with generalized disappointment aversion preferences and continuous state endowment dynamics. We apply the framework to the term structure of interest rates and show that the model generates an upward sloping term structure of nominal interest rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005999
Motivated by extensive evidence that stock-return correlations are stochastic, we analyze whether the risk of correlation changes (affecting diversification benefits) is priced. We propose a direct and intuitive test by comparing option-implied correlations between stock returns (obtained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007853
I develop and test a model to study the interaction between the commodity and stock markets. This study attempts to clarify the debate about the effect of financialization on commodity markets. Theoretically, the futures risk premium is determined by hedging pressure, stock market returns, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851801
We study the asset pricing implications of being able to optimally early exercise a plain-vanilla put option, contrasting the expected returns of equivalent American and European put options. Standard pricing models with stochastic volatility and asset-value jumps suggest the expected return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861702
This paper proposes a new approach to measure premiums for volatility and jump risks in option markets. These risks are captured by a multi-factor jump-diffusion model for the joint evolution of the underlying and the implied volatility surface. This market-based approach enables us to carefully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049255