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We empirically examine whether investors demand a systemic component of Volatility Risk (VRP-beta) using the stock options traded on National Stock Exchange, India. We document robust evidence on the presence of VRP-beta, which survives even after accounting for the traditional Fama-French...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238250
Our objective in this paper is to examine whether one can use option-implied information to improve the selection of mean-variance portfolios with a large number of stocks, and to document which aspects of option-implied information are most useful for improving their out-of-sample performance....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116788
We study whether option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, contains information about future returns, especially the negative ones. Our tail loss measure predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100653
The paper extends the work of Poterba (1984, 1991) and Voicu and Seiler (2011) by mathematically deriving the optimum rent versus buy decision without any information relating to expected home price appreciation or risk premia. Using Chicago Mercantile Exchange housing futures contracts, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101475
We provide evidence that speculative capital of hedge funds is a key determinant for the profitability of optimal carry and momentum strategies in futures markets across asset classes. We construct optimal carry and momentum portfolios from the perspective of a utility maximizing risk averse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085038
We study minute-by-minute behavior of the VIX index and trading activity in the underlying S&P 500 options to understand the impact of macro and microeconomic forces on risk neutral volatility. VIX often increases with macroeconomic news, reflects the credibility of Fed monetary stimulus, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065496
This paper proposes a new approach to measure premiums for volatility and jump risks in option markets. These risks are captured by a multi-factor jump-diffusion model for the joint evolution of the underlying and the implied volatility surface. This market-based approach enables us to carefully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049255
This paper studies optimal calendar spreads in commodity futures markets while taking into account a stochastic convenience yield. We show that a convenience yield imperfectly correlated with the spot commmodity price results in an optimal strategy composed of two commodity futures contracts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157724
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
While CBOE's VIX index is widely acknowledged as a broad-based investor “fear gauge” for its strong inverse relationship with major equity indexes, one cannot necessarily expect it to translate to the level of future turbulence or investor risk aversion in fixed-income markets. Indeed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750617