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We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...
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Since the onset of the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, credit risk spreads in Europe have diverged. Despite this … divergence, credit risk comoves strongly within certain country groups such as the eurozone periphery. We seek to answer what the … eurozone countries during the sovereign debt crisis. We find strong evidence for both fundamentals and nonfundamentals based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486057
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During the last crisis, developed economies' sovereign Credit Default Swap (hereafter CDS) premia have gained in importance as a tool for approximating credit risk. In this paper, we fit a dynamic factor model to decompose the sovereign CDS spreads of ten OECD economies into three components: a...
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We assess the role of financial linkages in the transmission of sovereign risk in the Euro Crisis. Building on the narrative approach by Romer and Romer (1989), we use financial news to identify structural shocks in a vector autoregressive model of daily sovereign CDS premia for eleven European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091155
Contagion is an elusive concept and several definitions have been used in the literature. According to Forbes and Rigobon (2002) contagion is defined as a significant increase in cross-market linkages after a shock to one country. In this paper we provide a selective literature review on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052697
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This paper examines the contagion of the eurozone debt crisis to developed and emerging stock markets around the world … eurozone debt crisis, this paper finds strong and pervasive evidence of negative contagion from the crisis countries to other … crisis. The Asian markets do not show pervasive evidence of contagion from the eurozone crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049332