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Nowcasting Global Economic Growth : A Factor-Augmented Mixed-Frequency Approach

Ferrara, Laurent - 2014

challenge for economists. The International Monetary Fund proposes within its periodic World Economic Outlook report a measure …-frequency information. Pseudo real-time results show that this approach provides reliable and timely nowcasts of the world GDP annual growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045125

Nowcasting World GDP Growth with High-Frequency Data

Jardet, Caroline; Meunier, Baptiste - 2020

investigates whether high-frequency data can also improve the nowcasting performances for world GDP growth on quarterly or annual … representing 68% of world GDP. Our approach builds on a Factor-Augmented MIxed DAta Sampling (FA-MIDAS) which allows us to take … outperform them during “crisis” episodes (2008-2009 and 2020). We finally construct a nowcasting model of annual world GDP growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014090107

Do oil prices predict economic growth? : new global evidence

Narayan, Paresh Kumar; Sharma, Susan Sunila; Poon, Wai Ching - In: Energy economics 41 (2014), pp. 137-146

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374599

Influence oil price towards macroeconomic indicators in Russia

Nyangarika, Anthony Msafiri; Mikhaylov, Alexey; … - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 9 (2019) 1, pp. 123-129

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955263

Crude oil price volatility and short-term predictability of the real U.S. GDP growth rate

Nonejad, Nima - In: Economics letters 186 (2020), pp. 1-5

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503762

Crude oil price point forecasts of the Norwegian GDP growth rate

Nonejad, Nima - In: Empirical economics : a quarterly journal of the … 61 (2021) 5, pp. 2913-2930

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012664660

Unexpected economic growth and oil price shocks

Wang, Fangzhi; Liao, Hua - In: Energy economics 116 (2022), pp. 1-12

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013542109

Using Sentiment Surveys to Predict GDP Growth and Stock Returns

Guzman, Giselle - 2012

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110732

Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions : A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons

Hadzi-Vaskov, Metodij; Ricci, Luca Antonio; Werner, … - 2022

This paper investigates the performance of the IMF WEO growth forecast revisions across different horizons and country groups. We find that: (i) growth revisions in horizons closer to the actual are generally larger, more volatile, and more negative; (ii) on average, growth revisions are in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013300855

Crude Oil Price and Growth of Output : The Case of Ghana

Cantah, William - 2015

to fluctuations in the world price of crude oil, especially when the country still depends largely on imported crude oil …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022711