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The prices of derivatives contracts can be used to estimate ‘risk-neutral' probability density functions that give an indication of the weight investors place on different future prices of their underlying assets, were they risk-neutral. In the likely case that investors are risk-averse, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104539
implied volatility smile and the risk neutral density function is tested on SPX options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106676
This article postulates a flexible specification for the implied volatility surface, which accounts for the existence … of volatility skew and term structure. I show that it is possible to express the local volatility function in terms of … the implied volatility. I then obtain an analytic formula for the local volatility function. The resulting local …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091895
assets. Each asset volatility smile is modeled according to a density-mixture dynamical model while the same property holds … reconcile single name and index/basket volatility smiles in a consistent framework. Our approach could be dubbed a … multidimensional local volatility approach with vector-state dependent diffusion matrix. The model is quite tractable, leading to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064466
volatility level. Single-factor stochastic volatility models are not flexible enough to account for the stochastic behavior of … the skew. On the other hand, multifactor stochastic volatility models are able to account for the existence of stochastic … that the consideration of additional volatility factors in the context of stochastic volatility models allows us to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064470
volatility's hidden state. Stochastic volatility is the unobserved state in a hidden Markov model (HMM), and can be tracked using … density on volatility. Our analysis relies on a specification of the martingale change of measure, which we will refer to as … separability. This specification has a multiplicative component that behaves like a risk premium on volatility-uncertainty in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064850
This paper introduces a structural credit default model that is based on a hyper-exponential jump diffusion process for the value of the firm. For credit default swap prices and other quantities of interest, explicit expressions for the corresponding Laplace transforms are derived. As an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038582
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013167779
We dissect the impact of information contained for future asset returns in the implied volatility skew. Future returns … volatility skew, calculated as the difference between out-of-the-money and at-the-money puts. We caution against using skew …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153237
at-the-money volatility with the returns of the underlying) and the skew of the option smile. The ratio between these two … the fact that the volatility skew is, in general, different from the skewness of the underlying. We compare our theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961460