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The literature has widely discussed the role of financial and economic uncertainty shocks for the macroeconomy. However, it has turned out to be difficult to isolate these shocks from financial market indicators and uncertainty proxies because any identifying restriction on their response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429635
This paper investigates in a non-linear setting the impact on the real economy of frictions stemming from the financial sector. We develop a medium scale DSGE model with a banking sector where an occasionally binding constraint on banks' capital induces a relevant non-linearity. The model -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976236
identifies the discount shock as the most important factor in driving price-rent dynamics and linking the dynamics in the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219582
particular, we find that the recovery after a negative aggregate shock is more sluggish when the economy is more lever …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847720
Asymmetric information is crucial for understanding the disruption of the supply of credit. This paper studies a dynamic economy featuring asymmetric information and resulting adverse selection in credit markets. Entrepreneurs seek loans from banks for projects, but asymmetric information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849147
This paper analyzes the role of heterogeneous households in propagating shocks over the business cycle by generalizing a basic sticky-price model to allow for imperfect risk-sharing between households that differ in labor incomes. I show that imperfectly insured household consumption distorts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014192107
financial executives, belief distortions on financial markets identify a non-rational risk shock. Surprises in beliefs in credit … the constructed shocks have statistically and economically meaningful effects. A positive non-rational risk shock moves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308197
. In a Bayesian vector autoregression, they identify a TFP news shock as one that explains the largest share of 40-quarter … ahead forecast error variance (FEV) of TFP. Their estimated impulse responses functions show that a positive news shock … significantly decreases credit market spreads and increases credit market supply. They also find that a shock that explains the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335049
This paper contributes to a better understanding of the important role that credit demand plays for credit markets and aggregate macroeconomic developments as both a source and transmitter of economic shocks. I am the first to identify a structural credit demand equation together with credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448367
contractions. We use a limit cycle model built upon Koçkesen & Semmler (2017) to evaluate Brunnermeirs’s theory of Resilience in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256271