Austrian economists have contributed several important concepts to business cycle theory including: inter-temporal coordination of production and consumption, heterogeneous specificity of capital, nonneutrality of money, and the capital structure of production. Noticeably lacking, however, is a...

We estimate a Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model with sticky household expectations that matches existing microeconomic evidence on marginal propensities to consume and macroeconomic evidence on the impulse response to a monetary policy shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for...

We examine whether low interest rates foster non-viable firms in Europe by analyzing two classes of firms: zombies and distressed. Controlling for the business cycle and recession periods, we find a significantly negative effect of short-term rates on the likelihood of being a zombie, while no...

We employ conformal symmetries to provide a generic tractable framework for interest rate modelling. The approach combines calibration flexibility of market models with tractability and computational efficiency of shot rate models. The methodology enables robust calibration to the whole variety...

We study the real effects of credit market sentiment on corporate investment and financing for a comprehensive panel of U.S. public and private firms over 1963-2016. In the short term, we find that high credit market sentiment in year t correlates with high corporate investment and debt issuance...

The paper investigates the role of expectations in the household credit cycle. First, I provide empirical evidence that survey data on expectations have strong predictive power for the dynamics of household debt. Optimism on future income predicts an increase in credit, in line with the...