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The aim of this study is to examine whether securitized real estate returns reflect direct real estate returns or general stock market returns using international data for the U.S., U.K., and Australia. In contrast to previous research, which has generally relied on overall real estate market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558452
Recent research shows that small trade imbalances are negatively associated with future stock returns. I find that this negative association only exists when stocks have initially been mispriced. In addition, mispricing occurs before the sentimental trading of small investors. In stocks with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064609
The efficient market hypothesis describes an efficient market as one in which investors cannot consistently predict stock returns because prices instantly reflect all the information flowing into the market. However, return predictability has been documented in many markets. This study tests the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179575
The purpose of this paper is to make a quantitative and qualitative critical analyse regarding the three important aspects of stock market evolution. First, the forecasting problems are presented and analyse in order to establish the main problems and the potential solutions. Second, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176187
Consensus analyst target prices are widely available online at no cost to investors. In this paper we consider whether these consensus target prices are informative for predicting future returns. We find that when considered in isolation, consensus target prices are not generally informative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861400
Quantitative research analysts (Quants) produce in-depth quantitative and econometric modeling of market anomalies to assist sell-side analysts and institutional clients with stock selection strategies. Quants are associated with more efficient analyst forecasting behavior on anomaly predictors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011969132
We assess investment value of sell-side analyst recommendations from the standpoint of portfolio risk. We match I/B/E/S consensus recommendations issued for U.S.-listed equities during January 2015 with realized volatility of daily security returns up to one year following recommendation issue....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917695
We examine the relationship between analysts' stock recommendations and cash flow forecasts, and whether these recommendations and cash flow forecasts provide investors with useful information to identify mispriced securities. In doing so, the paper contributes to the ongoing debate regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971089
This paper shows that analyst recommendations aggregated at the country level predict international stock market returns. A trading strategy based on past country-level recommendations yields an abnormal return of around 0.9 percent per month. Aggregate analyst recommendations also predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986529
We examine the information transmission role of stock recommendation revisions by sell-side security analysts. Revisions are associated with economically insignificant mean price reactions and often piggyback on recent news, events, long-term momentum, and short-run contrarian return predictors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095874