Showing 131 - 140 of 282,405
Crude oil price volatility has been analyzed extensively for organized spot, forward and futures markets for well over … a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …-Pacific), which are likely to be highly correlated. This paper analyses the volatility spillover effects across and within the four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159943
This paper estimates univariate and multivariate conditional volatility and conditional correlation models of spot … volatilities across returns for each market. The estimates of volatility spillovers and asymmetric effects for negative and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159992
has been conducted to evaluate the role of international tourism, and its associated volatility, within and across various … economies. This paper applies several recently developed models of multivariate conditional volatility to investigate the … interdependence of international tourism demand, as measured by international tourist arrivals, and its associated volatility in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155134
volatility of these commodities. The daily returns of Brent, gold and silver from 8 April 1999 to 7 April 2009 are employed to … model the volatility and volatility spillovers across markets. The univariate conditional volatility models suggest that … there is time-varying volatility in all assets. Moreover, asymmetry is observed in the Brent and gold markets. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155205
This paper employs the unrestricted extended constant conditional correlation GARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723007
We extend the class of GARCH models to comprise asymmetric and nonlinear effects on volatility. In particular, we do … not only explain future volatility of a time series on its own past, but allow for external influences and spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735981
The study examines the return and volatility spillover among Asian stock markets in India, Hong Kong, Japan, China … bidirectional return, shock, and volatility spillover among most of the stock markets. The magnitude of volatility linkages is low … indicating weak integration of Asian stock markets. The study finds that own volatility spillover is higher than cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890259
Volatility is a key measure of risk in financial analysis. The high volatility of one financial asset today could … affect the volatility of another asset tomorrow. These lagged effects among volatilities - which we call volatility … freedom. Moreover, we study volatility spillovers among a large number of assets. To this end, we use penalized estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943774
This paper studies the nature of volatility spillovers across countries from the per-spective of network theory and by … relying on data of US-listed ETFs. I use a Lasso-related technique to estimate the International Volatility Network (IVN …) where the nodes correspond to large-cap international stock markets while the links account for significant volatility lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868889
We introduce a conditional volatility model that combines persistent volatility dynamics with spillovers from a wide … volatility dynamics. We show that despite the many parameters resulting from this wide cross-section, this spillover … autoregressive (SPAR) realized variance model forecasts accurately and can be used in estimating large volatility spillover networks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051150