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The literature has widely discussed the role of financial and economic uncertainty shocks for the macroeconomy. However, it has turned out to be difficult to isolate these shocks from financial market indicators and uncertainty proxies because any identifying restriction on their response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429635
This paper uses a battery of calibrated and estimated structural models to determine the causal drivers of the negative correlation between output and aggregate uncertainty. We find the transmission of uncertainty shocks to output is weak, while aggregate uncertainty endogenously responds to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219154
this relationship accentuates or attenuates idiosyncratic stock volatility. Fundamental uncertainty refers to the … lower during recession because regulators and investors focus more on downside risk and require conservative reporting by … stock volatility increases (reduces) with fundamental (information) uncertainty during both recession and expansion, but the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024285
In this paper we show that the long-run stock and bond volatility and the long-run stock-bond correlation depend on …
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innovation to stock return correlation in a vector autoregression are nearly identical to those of a news shock about future …
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allow for low-frequency variation in the volatility of the shocks, and 2) the estimated degrees of freedom are quite low for … exclude the Great Recession from the sample. We also show that inference about low-frequency changes in volatility - and, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010219714
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