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Options on crude oil futures are the most actively traded commodity options. We develop a class of computationally efficient discrete-time jump models that allow for closed-form option valuation, and we use crude oil futures and options data to investigate the economic importance of jumps and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850215
We derive the valuation formula of a European call option on the spread of two cointegrated commodity prices, based on the GSC (Gibson-Schwartz with cointegration) model. We also analyze the American commodity spread option including the early exercise premium representation and an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023056
and correlation in the context of our spot price models based on continuous-time autoregressive moving average dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044930
With the transitions to overnight benchmarks as the main benchmarks in some currencies, futures based on overnight rates are becoming more common. The most traded futures on overnight rates settle against compounded rates. The pricing of those futures requires some convexity adjustments with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293629
A new measure of hedging pressure in commodity options markets—commercial hedgers’ net short option exposure—predicts option returns and changes in the slope of implied volatility curves. Puts are more expensive, and calls are cheaper, when values of option hedging pressure are greater....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211279
Options on crude oil futures are the most actively traded commodity options. We develop a class of computationally efficient discrete-time jump models that allow for closed-form option valuation, and we use crude oil futures and options data to investigate the economic importance of jumps and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646275
The detrended implied volatility of commodity options (VOL) forecasts the cross section of the commodity futures returns significantly. A zero-cost strategy that is long in low VOL and short in high VOL commodities yields an annualized return of 12.66% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.69. Notably, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122276
Typically, three types of implied volatility smiles are seen in commodity options: the reverse skew, the smile, and the forward skew. I put forward an economic explanation for all three types of implied volatility smiles based on the idea that a commodity call option is valued in analogy with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031127
We show that LME's (London Metal Exchange) listed forward contracts can be valued using usual formulas for forward contracts and that LME's listed Options, though legally American, are correctly treated as European Options
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143023
Price movements in many commodity markets exhibit significant seasonal patterns. In this paper, we study the effects of seasonal volatility on models' option pricing performance. In terms of options pricing, a deterministic seasonal component at the price level can be neglected. In contrast,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095321