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We present an analytical framework for the forward-looking measurement of extreme market risk. In contrast to standard …
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improvement in the systemic risk measurement. The results provide evidence in favour of risk measurement improvements by …
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-linear return frameworks, assuming normal and heavy-tailed distributions, we identify non-exotic cases in which a change in a bank … bank. Assessments based on estimated SRCs could thus produce false interpretations and incentives. We also identify … potentially adverse side effects: A change in a bank's risk structure can make the measured SRC of its competitors increase more …
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the public, long-term systemic risk among banks tends to increase. From the dynamic perspective, bank penalties represent … long-term. In this respect, bank penalties resemble still waters that run deep. In contrast, a settlement with regulatory …
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We construct a new systemic risk measure that quantifies vulnerability to fire-sale spillovers using detailed regulatory balance sheet data for U.S. commercial banks and repo market data for broker-dealers. Even for moderate shocks in normal times, fire-sale externalities can be substantial. For...
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