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In this paper we empirically explore the relationship between debt and output in a panel of 72 countries over the period 1970-2014 using a vector autoregression (VAR). We document two puzzling empirical findings that contrast with what is predicted by a standard small open economy model by...
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Episodes of high inflation are generally accompanied by a shortening of the maturity of nominal debt contracts. This … and the maturity structure of nominal bonds. The model shows that under the presence of a small risk of price … a negative relationship between inflation and maturity. The paper shows evidence of this negative correlation from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134991
We examine the welfare effects of bailouts in economies exposed to sovereign default risk. When a government of a small open economy requests a bailout from an international financial institution, it receives a non-defaultable loan of size G that comes with imposed debt limits. The government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160653
The business cycle dynamics of firms' investment and debt maturity vary across the firm size and age distribution …: Young and small firms have strongly pro-cyclical debt maturity and investment, old and large firms a-cyclical debt maturity … and weakly pro-cyclical investment. This paper explores the importance of firms' debt maturity choices for their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241370
Evidence shows that firms market time their debt maturity. Specifically, maturity is found to be inversely proportional … the term spread is large and they increase maturity as the term spread decreases. In this article, we build a model … explaining the market timing phenomenon using the trade-off theory of capital structure. Our explanation relies on the balance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034616
We study a rich dynamic-leverage model that includes (debt-issuance covenants, a debt floor/ceiling, and specially) a fixed cost. When firms face financial but also operational leverage---the fixed cost, the firm's financial policies strongly interact---bringing forward the default time but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350309
This paper extends the baseline framework used in recent quantitative studies of sovereign default by assuming that the government can borrow using long-duration bonds. This contrasts with previous studies, which assume the government can borrow using bonds that mature after one quarter. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096677
This study develops a novel model of endogenous sovereign debt maturity choice that rationalizes various stylized facts … about debt maturity and the yield spread curve: first, sovereign debt duration and maturity generally exceed one year, and …, output volatility, sudden stops, impatience and risk aversion are key determinants of maturity, both in our model and in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088092