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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962596
This study illustrates that the empirical rejection of the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis is not sensitive to whether the forward U.S. dollar is quoted at a premium or a discount. It is argued that the reported finding of so-called asymmetry in forward exchange rate bias in earlier work is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515676
We document an increase in deviations from short-term covered interest rate parity (CIP) in the first half of 2015. Since the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) decision to abandon its minimum exchange rate policy, both the magnitude and volatility of deviations from CIP have increased across several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422049
Based on a linear framework, this paper aims to examine the relationship between future spot rates and forward exchange rates using USD-TND data, thanks to traditional regressions and to the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) in order to check if the Unbiasedness Forward Exchange Rate (UFER)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115567
We investigate the relation between the risk premia observed in forward foreign exchange markets and international equity markets using the Arbitrage Pricing Theory. If returns on well-diversified equity portfolios explain movements in agents' intertemporal marginal rate of substitution then the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119670
This paper investigates the nature of observed deviations from the unbiased expectations hypothesis in the forward foreign exchange market. If these deviations are due to risk premia then the same premia should be observed in nominal bonds denominated in different currencies. This condition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119997
This study empirically examines the effect of foreign exchange (FX) market liquidity risk and volatility on the excess returns of currency carry trades. In contrast to the existent literature, we construct an alternative proxy of liquidity risk - violations of no arbitrage bounds in the forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101415
Forward exchange rate unbiasedness hypothesis (FRUH) has been a widely researched subject for decades. Recently, the sample populations of these studies have expanded to include developing country currencies. The majority of these findings have been that forward rate biasedness is more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101525
In this study, we test a set of country macro sentiment indexes that measure the trailing sentiment on both scheduled and unscheduled economic and geopolitical news events. We develop a cross-over strategy in the FX market based on short to long-term news sentiment inflection points covering the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081446
Retail Forex as an online CFD market is generally known as a high risk area for traders. This study is focused on existing risks and return possibilities in this market. Risks which may threat traders are surveyed through Liquidity, Credit, and Control, plus Market risks. Value at Risk and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083734