Based theoretically and empirically on the international transmission and spill-over, this study is set up to examine how returns on three groups (developed, emerging and frontier) of global stock markets respond to the U.S. credit spread shock. The Granger-causality is computed to determine the...

This study examines the dynamic response of S&P 500 dividend yield (DY) and S&P 500 price-to-earnings ratio (PE) to corporate profit growth (CP) shock. Using the VAR model to analyze quarterly data from 1951Q4 to 2012Q4, the results show that both DY and PE significantly drop immediately...

This study examines the relative importance of percentage change in price-to-earnings ratio (PE), percentage change in dividend yield (DY) and change in aggregate Tobin's q ratio (∆TBQ) in forecasting returns on the S&P 500 (SP). The results from the variance decomposition analysis of...

This study examines if the change in aggregate Tobin's q ratio (∆TBQ) can dynamically forecast return on the S&P 500 (SP). The VAR results from analyzing quarterly data from 1951Q4 to 2012Q4 show that the response of SP to ∆TBQ shock becomes significantly positive immediately. The...

This study examines how the percentage change in S&P 500 dividend yield (DY) dynamically responds to shock to the change in aggregate Tobin's q ratio (∆TBQ). The results from the VAR analysis of quarterly data from 1951Q4 to 2012Q4 show that DY significantly declines immediately following the...

This study investigates the dynamic effect of the change in aggregate Tobin's q ratio (TBQ) on the percentage change in the S&P 500 price-to-earnings ratio (PE). Based on the analysis of the quarterly market level data from 1951Q4 to 2012Q4, the results show that PE significantly jumps...

This study is set up to investigate how financial stress dynamically affects commercial bank loan delinquency (CBLD) rate. Using quarterly data from 1994Q1 to 2012Q4, the results show that CBLD rate immediately rises following financial stress shock; however, it significantly drops after 3...

This study examines the reaction of commercial bank sector to loan (written by all commercial banks) delinquency rate shock. Using quarterly data from 1985Q1 to 2012Q4, the results show that returns on the commercial bank sector significantly drop immediately following the spike in loan...