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might be due to the growing volatility of international fertilizer prices, especially urea, and it is probable that most of … volatility). Second, the prices of food commodities have influenced the fertilizer market and not vice versa. The results show …, meaning that no buffer could protect the market when an adverse shock occurred in 2007. Fifth, the volatility of energy, food …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011169902
Maturity transformation coupled with open foreign exchange positions expose financial intermediaries to unexpected changes in interest and exchange rates. This paper proposes to measure the degree of banks exposure to market risks by taking the variance of the total differential of the bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011183544
Several de facto exchange rate regime classifications have been widely used in empirical research, but they are known to disagree with one another to a disturbing extent. We dissect the algorithms employed and argue that they can be significantly improved. We implement the improvements, and show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186390
which is a stronger predictor of not only stock returns, but also volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188121
growth and growth volatility, on the other hand. Based on a sample of 77 countries for the period 1980–2007, we find that … intermediation activities increase growth and reduce volatility in the long run. An expansion of the financial sectors along other … at the cost of higher volatility in high-income countries. Intermediation activities stabilize the economy in the medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011046555
The paper presents and estimates a model of the prices of oil and other storable commodities, a model that can be characterized as reflecting the carry trade. It focuses on speculative factors, here defined as the trade-off between interest rates on the one hand and market participants'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048451
, effectively lowering its volatility. We also show that relatively small increases in the average holdings of reserves by Latin … substantially REER volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048521
) Model to find out the relationships between the volatility of rubber futures returns in the Agricultural Futures Exchange of … Thailand (AFET) and other four main markets, namely, the volatility of rubber futures returns in the Singapore Commodity … Exchange (SICOM), the volatility of rubber futures returns, crude oil returns, and gas oil returns in the Tokyo Commodity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048748
are interdependent. Also, a single reduced-form equation is derived from the SUR model to analyze the volatility of the …. The Breusch–Pagan test of independence was rejected. A key finding from the volatility analysis suggests that bank profit … rates are inversely related to the volatility of the banks' capitalization ratios as measured by their variances. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048764
The paper aims to suggest the best volatility forecasting model for stock markets in Turkey. The findings of this paper … support the superiority of high frequency based volatility forecasting models over traditional GARCH models. MIDAS and HAR …-RV-CJ models are found to be the best among high frequency based volatility forecasting models. Moreover, MIDAS model performs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048965