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I suggest a characteristic-based covariance model that directly links the predetermined fi rm characteristics to time-varying covariance risk. Using a large cross section of individual stock-level data, I parsimoniously estimate both conditional expected returns and conditional covariances as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128431
This paper examines the time-series predictability of aggregate stock returns in 20 emerging markets. In contrast to the aggregate-level findings in US, earnings yield forecasts the time-series of aggregate stock returns in emerging markets. We consider aggregate earnings not as normalizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115711
' volatility, skewness, and kurtosis are strongly related to subsequent returns. Specifically, we find a negative relation between … volatility and returns in thecross-section. We also find a significant relation between skewness and returns, with more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116546
This study aims to explore the performance persistence of frontier market equity anomalies. To this end, I replicate 140 anomalies in the cross-section of returns in a sample of 23 frontier markets. I demonstrate a robust and strong performance persistence in the anomaly returns. The return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900753
We investigate the pricing of systematic tail risk measured by tail beta in the Chinese equity market. Using an array of tests, we examine the performance of more than 3,300 stocks for the years 1999 through 2018. Contrary to evidence from developed markets, we demonstrate a strong negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890609
We analyze short-term reversal and medium-term momentum patterns in weekly stock returns in Europe. Focusing on raw and on stock-specific returns, our empirical results show for both return specifications i) a negative relation between weekly past returns and future returns in the short run and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937537
This paper studies the diffusion of regional macroeconomic information into stock prices. I identify all U.S. states that are economically relevant for a company through textual analysis of annual reports and find that economic activity forecasts of company-relevant regions positively predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938251
increases the representative investor's expected volatility and depresses today's stock price. Our empirical results suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825080
Despite considerable empirical evidence reporting a negative relationship between net share issuance and subsequent returns, it remains unresolved whether this anomaly is explained by risk or investor irrationality. This paper examines the net share issuance anomaly using seasoned equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865741
We test the hypothesis that low visibility shocks to text-based network industry peers can explain industry momentum. We consider industry peer firms identified through 10-K product text and focus on economic peer links that do not share common SIC codes. Shocks to less visible peers generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972674