This paper provides a comprehensive statistical and economic evidence on the forecasting power of local-currency equity and bond returns in predicting exchange rate returns. We first construct out-of-sample (OOS) forecasts using various model specifications of equity and bond returns, and assess...

In this Appendix, we present the results of four supplementary robustness checks including controlling for various macro risks (Appendix A), different time periods (Appendix B), a different method of forecast construction (Appendix C), and different trading strategy (Appendix D)

This study examines the role of financial integration on exchange market pressure (EMP) across a representative group of forty-two advanced and emerging markets over the period 2000-2019, which covers the global financial crisis, which has heightened monetary and economic policy uncertainty. We...