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Nonlinear Auto Regressive Moving Average with eXogenous inputs (NAR-MAX), to investigate determinants of housing prices in China … prices in China and will provide some valuable insights on how to use monetary policies to manage asset prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092528
-level housing price growth in China from 2005 to 2015. During the zero-lower-bound (ZLB) episode in the U.S., local factors account … variance share of the national factor reaches 51%. This indicates that the city-level housing price growth in China is more of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854498
This study uses theoretical models and empirical research to explain that interest rates affect the structure of housing price formation and correction rather than affect the price alone. In particular, when interest rates are substantially reduced, the correction of housing prices toward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012506319
We study equilibrium determination in an environment where two kinds of agents have different information sets: The fully informed agents know the structure of the model and observe histories of all exogenous and endogenous variables. The less informed agents observe only a strict subset of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160543
This paper examines the heterogeneous effects of unconventional monetary pol icy on housing default and foreclosure across subprime and prime regions. Using both daily and monthly data and various identification schemes, we find that expansionary unconventional monetary policy shocks reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972768
This study investigates whether the unprecedented liquidity injected in the economy by the U.S Fed through unconventional monetary policy measure, popularly known as quantitative easing (QE), is a systematic factor that can explain the abnormally low U.S. housing starts of recent years. We use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025210
The acceleration of house price growth amidst falling interest rates to record-low levels across euro area countries between 2015 and 2021 has sparked renewed interest in the link between the two variables. Asset-pricing theory suggests that real house prices respond to changes in real interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257208
In practice, the expectations theory of the term structure is employed extensively in monetary policy analysis despite its empirical failure. This paper performs a conditional test of the theory that is directly relevant to monetary theory and policy. It finds that the theory holds quite well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778440
Macro models of monetary policy typically involve forward looking behavior. Except in rare circumstances, we have to apply some numerical method to find the optimal policy and the rational expectations equilibrium. This paper summarizes a few useful methods, and shows how they can be combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095883
In this paper I study the effects of monetary policy on economic activity and asset prices in Sweden, separately identifying the effects of a conventional policy change from effects of new information about economic fundamentals. Recent research has shown that high-frequency changes in policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309007