Matched transaction-level, credit-registry, and survey-based data reveal that consumers on average form excessively high (low) income expectations relative to ex-post realizations after unexpected positive (negative) income shocks. These extrapolative income expectations lead consumers to...

Die Jobcenter in Deutschland verantworten die Betreuung und Arbeitsvermittlung von Arbeitsuchenden in der Grundsicherung (»Hartz IV«). Sie werden entweder als "gemeinsame Einrichtungen" von Kommunen und der lokalen Agentur für Arbeit oder in "Optionskommunen" allein von den Kommunen geführt....

The jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policy mix in a multi-sector New Keynesian model with sectoral government spending and productivity shocks entails a separation of roles: Sectoral government spending optimally adjusts to sectoral output gaps and inflation rates---a policy supported by...