Survivorship in a panel sample may depend on performance. The lack of randomness introduced challenges unbiased robust inference. If variance of performance over time is heterogeneous, spurious performance persistence may be observed in samples of survivors (Brown, Goetzmann, Ibbotson and Ross,...

We clarify that the widely used estimation method for the LOT liquidity model in the market microstructure literature is improper in the sense of econometric inference. Based on an extensive simulation study and a real data analysis, we show that this method not only overestimates the true...

We study the price discovery process of cryptocurrencies that trade in unregulated and fragmented markets and have a non-traditional business model. ICOs exhibit significant inefficiencies with VRs (Variance Ratios) less than 0.7 for up to 5-years from the issue date. IEOs with a similar...

We argue that the previously documented association between ex ante information (e.g. earnings forecasts) and the subsequent, apparently predictable security price performance is exaggerated. The exaggeration stems from non-random deletion of data, especially in highly right-skewed distributions...

Trading under limited pre-trade transparency becomes increasingly popular on financial markets. We provide first evidence on traders' use of (completely) hidden orders which might be placed even inside of the (displayed) bid-ask spread. Employing TotalView-ITCH data on order messages at NASDAQ,...

Trading under limited pre-trade transparency becomes increasingly popular on financial markets. We provide first evidence on traders’ use of (completely) hidden orders which might be placed even inside of the (displayed) bid-ask spread. Employing TotalView-ITCH data on order messages at...

Most intervention studies have been silent on the assumed structure of the economic system - implicitly imposing implausible assumptions - despite the fact that inference depends crucially on such issues. This paper proposes to identify the cross-effects of intervention with the level and...

The team totals and point spread betting lines jointly predict team scores in college football games. The gambling market's score predictions are shown to be biased due to censoring at zero points. This presents arbitrage opportunities for gamblers who place wagers on the team totals line in...

Trading under limited pre-trade transparency becomes increasingly popular on financial markets. We provide first evidence on traders' use of (completely) hidden orders which might be placed even inside of the (displayed) bid-ask spread. Employing TotalView-ITCH data on order messages at NASDAQ,...

This paper analyzes the random walk behaviour of futures prices when the exchange regulated by price limits. Using a model analogous to exchange rate target zone models, the study tests for the existence of a nonlinear S-shape relation between observed and theoretical futures prices. This...