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forecasting and monetary policy analysis in low-income countries and apply it to Kenya. We use the model to run several policy … recover the sequence of domestic and foreign macroeconomic shocks that account for business cycle dynamics in Kenya over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035741
in the analysis of monetary policy in low-income countries (LICs), with an application to Kenya. We provide a general … target misses in terms of structural shocks (aggregate demand, policy, shocks to money demand, etc). In the case of Kenya, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667479
I compare nominal GDP level targeting to flexible inflation targeting in a small New Keynesian model subject to the zero lower bound on nominal policy rates. First, I study the performance of optimal discretionary policies. I find that, for a standard calibration, inflation targeting under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761531
In a standard New Keynesian model, a myopic central bank concerned with stabilizing inflation and changes in the output gap will implement a policy under discretion that replicates the optimal, timeless perspective, precommitment policy. By stabilizing output gap changes, the central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408406
This paper attempts to estimate possible losses in macroeconomic stabilization due to a move from inflation to exchange rate targeting on the example of the Czech Republic. The authors use an estimated New Keynesian policy model, typical inflation and exchange rate targeting rules, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121934
To conduct policy efficiently, central banks must use available data to infer, or learn, the relevant structural relationships in the economy. However, because a central bank's policy affects economic outcomes, the chosen policy may help or hinder its efforts to learn. This paper examines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728717
​We examine global dynamics under infinite-horizon learning in New Keynesian models where monetary policy practices either price-level or nominal GDP targeting and compare these regimes to inflation targeting. These interest-rate rules are subject to the zero lower bound. Robustness of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059492
In a standard New Keynesian model, a myopic central bank concerned with stabilizing inflation and changes in the output gap will implement a policy under discretion that replicates the optimal, timeless perspective, precommitment policy. By stabilizing output gap changes, the central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320718
Speed limit policy, a monetary policy strategy that focuses on stabilizing inflation and the change in the output gap, consistently delivers better welfare outcomes than flexible inflation targeting or flexible price level targeting in empirical New Keynesian models when policymakers lack the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803173
This paper stresses that estimated policy rules are reduced form equations that are silent on many important policy questions. To obtain a structural understanding of monetary policy it is necessary to estimate the policymaker's objective function, rather than its policy reaction function. With...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071550