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Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
We study the impact of monetary policy on regional inequality using granular data on economic activity at the city- and county-level in Europe. We document pronounced heterogeneity in the regional patterns of monetary policy transmission. The output response to monetary policy shocks is stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197783
trade result in an asymmetric reaction to an otherwise symmetric shock. In this context, we show that oil price shocks can … verstärken können. Ölpreisschwankungen und eine auf den Ölpreis reagierende, zunehmend kontraktive Geldpolitik, können auch eine … asymmetrischen Reaktion auf einen ansonsten symmetrischen Schock. In diesem Zusammenhang zeigen wir, dass Ölpreisschocks langfristige …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787351
that a 100-basis-point increase in our new shock series leads to a 1.0 per cent decrease in real GDP and a 0.4 per cent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777945
Dynamic factor models and external instrument identification are two recent advances in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper combines the two approaches in order to study the effects of monetary policy shocks. I use this novel framework to re-examine the effects found by Forni and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636064
trade result in an asymmetric reaction to an otherwise symmetric shock. In this context, we show that oil price shocks can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785688
We study optimal monetary policy during temporary supply contractions when aggregate demand has inertia and expansionary policy is constrained. In this environment, it is optimal to run the economy hot until supply recovers. Positive output gaps in the low-supply phase lessen the negative output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886884
Using regionally disaggregated data on economic activity, we show that risk sharing plays a key role in shaping the real effects of monetary policy. With weak risk sharing, monetary policy shocks trigger a strong and durable response in output. With strong risk sharing, the response is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448692
We investigate the factors driving current account and monetary policy developments in the euro area. We estimate an open-economy structural vector autoregression (VAR) model with zero and sign restrictions derived from a multi-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329445
Consumer credit spreads significantly impact consumption and asset dynamics, affecting indebted households' spending behavior and the income sensitivity of consumption. Analyzing Danish data, we find that elevated credit spreads reduce consumption of indebted households. Our results suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480275