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We adopt Schwartz and Smith’s model (2000) to calculate risk measures of Brent oil futures contracts and light sweet … crude oil (WTI) futures contracts and Mirantes, Poblacion and Serna’s model (2012) to calculate risk measures of natural gas … models provide satisfactory risk measures for listed energy commodity futures contracts. A simple estimation method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721302
I study dynamic hedging for variable annuities under basis risk. Basis risk, which arises from the imperfect … performance. I investigate whether the choice of a suitable hedging strategy can help to reduce the risk for the insurance company … correlation between the underlying fund and the proxy asset used for hedging, has a highly negative impact on the hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860194
in a risk measurement context is less developed. This paper uses a scheme from probability theory and statistics … suitable for revaluing instruments as required to determine a portfolio's Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. Time series of …, Gaussian Process Regression leads to risk figures identical to those from full revaluation and outperforms Taylor expansion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898200
We analyze the variance risk of commodity markets. We construct synthetic variance swaps and find significantly … futures returns, indicating that variance risk is unspanned by commodity futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905452
I extend the classical general equilibrium treatment of uncertainty about exogenous states of nature to uncertainty about prices. Traders do not know the prices at which markets will clear but have expectations over possible prices. They trade price-contingent securities (derivatives) to insure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949911
This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751125
portfolio choice and recently proposed conditional risk metrics. Finally, we show that the distribution provides a good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840254
significantly positively associated with future realized stock returns and also significantly correlates with commonly used risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007706
find that both stock return volatility and idiosyncratic risks increase significantly as stock returns increase after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086564
real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of … ready-made approaches to risk management analysis. However, EVT is usually applied to standardized returns to offer more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399734