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We study the degree of synchronization between formal- and informal-economy business cycles. Using a comprehensive database of informal activity that covers a wide range of informality measures from almost 160 countries over the 1990-2018 period, we report two major results. First, fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213504
We study the degree of synchronization between formal- and informal-economy business cycles. Using a comprehensive database of informal activity that covers a wide range of informality measures from almost 160 countries over the 1990-2018 period, we report two major results. First, fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213976
Multi-country models have not been very successful in replicating important features of the international transmission of business cycles. This paper extends previous work by introducing multiple sectors and traded intermediate inputs. Trade in intermediate goods represents approximately 60% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219818
The aim of this paper is to show that random matrix theory (RMT) can be a useful addition to the economist?s tool … may be dominated by noise rather than by true information. Random matrix theory was developed in physics to overcome this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132338
This paper studies the business cycle implications of entry costs in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with firm entry and nominal rigidity. Simulations show that my baseline model matches the dynamics observed in the data fairly well. Remarkably, it overcomes the difficulties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097653
This paper analyses whether and since when East and West German business cycles are synchronised. We investigate real GDP, unemployment rates and survey data as business cycle indicators and employ several empirical methods. Overall, we find that the regional business cycles have synchronised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011981554
by idiosyncratic, and to a lesser extent also world, shocks. Additionally, real shocks prove relevant rather than nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489953
In this paper a multivariate dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) general autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) framework is employed to study dynamics of sectoral comovement across manufacturing sectors both in Germany and in the United States. Asymmetric effects both in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405571
The study analyses the business cycles of the G7 countries in a structural vector autoregression(SVAR) framework comprising output, nominal interest rate and inflation. Common and country-specific supply, demand and nominal shocks of each G7 country are identified, and the corresponding shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824053