Due to its significance, forecasting asset volatility has been an active area of research in recent decades. In this whitepaper we aim to take into account the stylised facts of volatility to improve predictive power of a simple GARCH model. We investigate the power of three GARCH models (GARCH,...

In this study we investigate how the prediction of future volatility is improved by using news (meta)data. We use three input time series, namely: (i) market data, (ii) news sentiment impact scores, as explained by Yu (2014), and (iii) the news volume. We compare the results of predicting...

Momentum strategy is one of the most popular strategies that market participants use to make investment decisions. In the past two decades, many researchers have shown that momentum strategy beats the market, and provides attractive portfolio returns. In this study we investigate Dow Jones...

We investigate how ‘news sentiment' in general and the ‘impact of news' in particular can be utilised in designing equity trading strategies. News is an event that moves the market in a small way or a big way. We have introduced a derived measure of news impact score which takes into...

Computer trading in financial markets is a rapidly developing field with a growing number of applications. Automated analysis of news and computation of market sentiment is a related applied research topic which impinges on the methods and models deployed in the former. In this chapter we have...

We investigate how “news sentiment” in general and the “impact of news” in particular can be utilized in designing equity trading strategies. News is an event that moves the market in a small way or a big way. We have introduced a derived measure of news impact score which takes into...

In nonparametric multivariate regression analysis, one usually seeks methods to reduce the dimensionality of the regression function to bypass the difficulty caused by the curse of dimensionality. We study nonparametric estimation of multivariate conditional distribution and quantile regression...

The paper considers kernel estimation of conditional quantiles for both short-range and long-range-dependent processes. Under mild regularity conditions, we obtain Bahadur representations and central limit theorems for kernel quantile estimates of those processes. Our theory is applicable to...