Showing 31 - 40 of 102,718
This paper replicates the main analysis of Svensson (2015) with some expansion to the original analysis, mainly for the United States. Overall, the replication exercise successfully confirms the conclusions of Svensson (2015). In both Sweden and the United States, empirical evidence sup- ports...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179358
I compare nominal GDP level targeting to flexible inflation targeting in a small New Keynesian model subject to the zero lower bound on nominal policy rates. First, I study the performance of optimal discretionary policies. I find that, for a standard calibration, inflation targeting under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079819
We evaluate and compare alternative monetary policy rules, namely average inflation targeting, price level targeting, and traditional inflation targeting rules, in a standard New Keynesian model that features recurring, transient zero lower bound regimes. We use determinacy and expectational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665278
We investigate the regime-dependent and time-varying behavior of inflation expectations and the uncertainties of expectations in Turkey through threshold regressions, and lag-augmented vector autoregression (LA-VAR) based time-varying Granger causality tests. Results suggest state-dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312237
Evidence on the credibility of a central bank's inflation target typically refers to the anchoring of survey-based measures of inflation expectations. However, both the survey question and the anchoring criteria are only loosely connected to the actual inflation target used in monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225643
The establishment of the inflation targeting regime in Paraguay is relatively recent, however, the results have been satisfactory. This is because based on the observed data, from the implementation of this framework, it has been possible to not only reduce inflation levels, but also align...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883801
Assigning a discretionary central bank a mandate to stabilize an average in ation rate| rather than a period-by-period in ation rate|increases welfare in a New Keynesian model with an occasionally binding lower bound on nominal interest rates. Under rational expecta- tions, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206238
Inflation expectations are a key determinant of actual and future inflation and thus matter for the conduct of monetary policy. We study how firms form their inflation expectations using quarterly firm-level data from the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey, spanning the 2001 to 2015...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433529
An important indicator for policy makers is whether long-term inflation expectations (IEs) are anchored. In this paper, I employ Bayesian time-varying news regressions to assess whether medium- and long-term IEs are anchored. First, I show that the sensitivity of long-term IEs to most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998859
Beginning with the global financial crisis (2008) the correlation between crude oil prices and medium-term and forward inflation expectations increased leading to fears of their un-anchoring. Using the first principal component of commodity prices as a measure for global aggregate demand, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916305