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At the zero lower bound, the central bank's inability to offset shocks endogenously generates volatility. In this setting, an increase in uncertainty about future shocks causes significant contractions in the economy and may lead to non-existence of an equilibrium. The form of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020290
This study investigates the impact of uncertainty shocks on macroeconomic activity in Korea. For this purpose, a Smooth Transition VAR model is employed to document the state-dependent dynamics of two distinct types of uncertainty shocks, namely, financial market based and news-based. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920628
stronger than that of the long end (i.e., of long term ones). In other words, a financial uncertainty shock causes a temporary … recovery in real activity after a financial uncertainty shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
We develop uncertainty indices for the United States and Australia based on freely accessible, real time Google Trends data. Our Google Trends Uncertainty (GTU) indices are found to be positively correlated to a variety of alternative proxies for uncertainty available for these two countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735982
Using regionally disaggregated data on economic activity, we show that risk sharing plays a key role in shaping the … real effects of monetary policy. With weak risk sharing, monetary policy shocks trigger a strong and durable response in … output. With strong risk sharing, the response is attenuated, and output reverts to its initial level over the medium term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448692
recessionary effects of uncertainty and can result in aggregate dynamics consistent with a supply-side shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287049
Using regionally disaggregated data on economic activity, we show that risk sharing plays a key role in shaping the … real effects of monetary policy. With weak risk sharing, monetary policy shocks trigger a strong and durable response in … output. With strong risk sharing, the response is attenuated, and output reverts to its initial level over the medium term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242298
aggregate risk with entrepreneurs, and therefore bear uncertainty in their loan portfolios. Unexpected aggregate shocks will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915191
​The paper concentrates on illustrating and assessing central banks' liquidity operations during the crisis that started in August 2007. In addition to the ECB, the central banks of Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, Australia, Japan, Canada and the United States are analyzed. During the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130409
strain, as reflected by a sizeable risk premium on government debt. Specifically, they consider a 'sovereign risk channel …,' through which sovereign default risk spills over to the rest of the economy, raising funding costs in the private sector. The … model. They show that, if monetary policy is constrained in offsetting the effect of higher sovereign risk on private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120089